GamePlan Science
vs
Week 17
2027-01-03
Huntington Bank Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
IND wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
CLE wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28INDCLE

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
IND 57%Tie 3%40% CLE
IND most likely
17
CLE most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

IND+0.241
CLE-0.342
league avg -0.69-0.44-0.190.060.320.57 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

IND-0.040
CLE+0.154
league avg -0.33-0.17-0.020.140.290.45 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)