GamePlan Science
vs
Week 17
2027-01-03
SoFi Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
KC wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
LAC wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28KCLAC

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
KC 43%Tie 3%54% LAC
KC most likely
17
LAC most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

KC+0.025
LAC+0.010
league avg -0.33-0.19-0.050.090.230.37 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

KC+0.027
LAC+0.084
league avg -0.28-0.15-0.010.120.250.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)