GamePlan Science
vs
Week 17
2027-01-03
Raymond James Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LA wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
TB wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35LATB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LA 60%Tie 3%38% TB
LA most likely
24
TB most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LA+0.253
TB-0.047
league avg -0.38-0.190.010.200.400.59 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LA+0.059
TB-0.021
league avg -0.31-0.17-0.040.090.220.36 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)