State Farm Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerLV wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
ARI wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsLV 39%Tie 3%58% ARI
LV most likely
10
ARI most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
LV-0.295
ARI-0.066
Defensive Strength
LV-0.019
ARI-0.104