MetLife Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerMIN wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
NYJ wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsMIN 62%Tie 3%35% NYJ
MIN most likely
17
NYJ most likely
10
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
MIN-0.125
NYJ-0.255
Defensive Strength
MIN+0.171
NYJ-0.157