GamePlan Science
vs
Week 17
2027-01-03
Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NO wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
ATL wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28NOATL

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NO 45%Tie 3%51% ATL
NO most likely
17
ATL most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NO-0.174
ATL-0.083
league avg -0.53-0.37-0.22-0.060.100.25 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NO+0.056
ATL-0.004
league avg -0.30-0.17-0.040.090.210.34 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)