GamePlan Science
vs
Week 17
2027-01-03
Levi's Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
PHI wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
SF wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28PHISF

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
PHI 43%Tie 3%54% SF
PHI most likely
17
SF most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

PHI-0.038
SF+0.144
league avg -0.37-0.20-0.030.140.310.48 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

PHI+0.143
SF-0.040
league avg -0.33-0.18-0.020.130.280.44 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)