Nissan Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerPIT wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
TEN wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsPIT 58%Tie 3%39% TEN
PIT most likely
17
TEN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
PIT+0.017
TEN-0.229
Defensive Strength
PIT-0.008
TEN-0.091