EverBank Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerWAS wins 2,700
of 10,000 simulations
JAX wins 7,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsWAS 31%Tie 2%67% JAX
WAS most likely
17
JAX most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
WAS-0.013
JAX+0.076
Defensive Strength
WAS-0.157
JAX+0.063