GamePlan Science
vs
Week 18
2027-01-10
Bank of America Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
ATL wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
CAR wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28ATLCAR

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
ATL 46%Tie 3%51% CAR
ATL most likely
17
CAR most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

ATL-0.083
CAR-0.112
league avg -0.47-0.32-0.18-0.030.110.25 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

ATL-0.004
CAR-0.084
league avg -0.38-0.25-0.110.020.160.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)