GamePlan Science
vs
Week 18
2027-01-10
Paycor Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CLE wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
CIN wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35CLECIN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CLE 42%Tie 3%55% CIN
CLE most likely
17
CIN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CLE-0.342
CIN+0.032
league avg -0.69-0.48-0.27-0.050.160.37 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CLE+0.154
CIN-0.128
league avg -0.43-0.25-0.080.100.270.45 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)