Lucas Oil Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerJAX wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
IND wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsJAX 41%Tie 3%56% IND
JAX most likely
17
IND most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
JAX+0.076
IND+0.241
Defensive Strength
JAX+0.063
IND-0.040