GamePlan Science
vs
Week 18
2027-01-10
Empower Field at Mile High · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LAC wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
DEN wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28LACDEN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LAC 42%Tie 4%54% DEN
LAC most likely
17
DEN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LAC+0.010
DEN-0.017
league avg -0.35-0.21-0.070.070.210.35 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LAC+0.084
DEN+0.126
league avg -0.21-0.090.040.160.280.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)