GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerLV wins 2,800
of 10,000 simulations
KC wins 6,900
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsLV 29%Tie 3%67% KC
LV most likely
10
KC most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
LV-0.295
KC+0.025
Defensive Strength
LV-0.019
KC+0.027