Gillette Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerMIA wins 2,700
of 10,000 simulations
NE wins 7,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsMIA 29%Tie 3%69% NE
MIA most likely
10
NE most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
MIA-0.082
NE+0.182
Defensive Strength
MIA-0.063
NE+0.032