Highmark Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNYJ wins 1,800
of 10,000 simulations
BUF wins 8,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNYJ 21%Tie 2%77% BUF
NYJ most likely
10
BUF most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NYJ-0.255
BUF+0.215
Defensive Strength
NYJ-0.157
BUF-0.029