M&T Bank Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerPIT wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
BAL wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsPIT 40%Tie 3%56% BAL
PIT most likely
17
BAL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
PIT+0.017
BAL+0.062
Defensive Strength
PIT-0.008
BAL-0.029