State Farm Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerSF wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
ARI wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsSF 55%Tie 3%42% ARI
SF most likely
17
ARI most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
SF+0.144
ARI-0.066
Defensive Strength
SF-0.040
ARI-0.104