Caesars Superdome · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTB wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
NO wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTB 48%Tie 3%49% NO
TB most likely
17
NO most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TB-0.047
NO-0.174
Defensive Strength
TB-0.021
NO+0.056