Reliant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTEN wins 2,700
of 10,000 simulations
HOU wins 7,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTEN 28%Tie 3%69% HOU
TEN most likely
10
HOU most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TEN-0.229
HOU-0.040
Defensive Strength
TEN-0.091
HOU+0.173